TURING (ALAN)
Autograph letter signed ("Yours Alan") to Alfred William Beuttell ("Dear Mr Beuttell"), returning his notes on the Monte-Carlo system "...with a few notes on what I imagine is the explanation of its success...", going on to say "...I remember your telling me a few months ago that a method for calculating the illumination level on the working plane in a room was rather badly needed. Of course one could not expect to get a simple & accurate formula for anything so complicated...", followed by detailed explanations illustrated by an equation ("...It is illuminated by a uniform point source of candle power I placed at the centre... I am sure there is no need for me to say how one would apply it in practice... I just thought this one might be of use to you..."), sending "...Regards to everyone, and please don't feel there is any need to answer these ravings of mine..."; together with the above-mentioned four-page analysis of the Monte-Carlo system headed "Gambling System", concluding "...The general effect is when that for short runs one most probably wins or else once loses an unexpectedly large sum. As the length of the run is increased the chances of winning becomes more remote & is negligible for 100,000 spins...", 7 pages in all on King's College headed paper, light dust staining, creased at folds, rust stain from old paperclip, 8vo (178 x 134mm.), Cambridge, 2 February [19]33